Title: A systemic approach for disruption risk assessment in oil and gas supply chains

Authors: Abdulrahman Alfaqiri; Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain; Raed Jaradat; Sawsan Abutabenjeh; Charles B. Keating; Mahmoud T. Khasawneh; C. Ariel Pinto

Addresses: Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA ' Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Mississippi State University, P.O. Box 9542, Mississippi State, 39762, USA ' Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Mississippi State University, P.O. Box 9542, Mississippi State, 39762, USA ' Department of Political Science and Public Administration, Mississippi State University, P.O. Box PC, Mississippi State, 39762, USA ' Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA ' School of Engineering, Texas A&M International University, Laredo, TX 78041, USA ' Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA 23529, USA

Abstract: Twenty-first century systems are characterised by rapid changes and constantly evolving dynamics. Therefore, supply chains have become more globalised and complex than ever before. Global supply chains are often accompanied by serious threats and significant additional risks to industries that rely heavily on them. The oil and gas industry encounter significant supply chain risks throughout all stages. The objective of this paper is to provide a holistic complex system governance (CSG) perspective to investigate disruption risks in oil and gas supply chains. As a case study, the piracy problem in Africa is used to demonstrate the efficacy and extensibility of the CSG perspective to a wider array of potential supply chain disruptions. Unlike ready-made solutions or 'off-the-shelf' strategies that may actually undermine the establishment of a resilient global oil and gas supply chain, this paper examines associated risks as a complex system, or a system of systems problem.

Keywords: supply chain risks; oil and gas industry; risk management.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCIS.2019.100428

International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2019 Vol.15 No.3, pp.230 - 259

Received: 13 Jul 2018
Accepted: 20 Nov 2018

Published online: 25 Mar 2019 *

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