The state of coalitions in international climate change negotiations and implications for global climate policy
by Bryndís Arndal Woods; Daði Már Kristófersson
International Journal of Environmental Policy and Decision Making (IJEPDM), Vol. 2, No. 1, 2016

Abstract: This paper presents a method of identifying negotiation coalitions and determining their stability. We provide insights into the structure, issue emphasis, and internal coherence of coalitions at the 17th Meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and emphasise the implications for climate policy. Countries are grouped into 'natural' coalitions using latent class analysis (LCA) according to the negotiation issues stressed in their opening statements. We compare the LCA results to existing coalitions and find that the LCA coalitions differ from existing coalitions and are more robust by various measures. Existing coalitions are largely heterogeneous according to both issue emphasis and region, which confirms the fragmentation of coalitions and highlights the problematic nature of overlapping preference assumptions common in analyses of climate negotiations. Nevertheless, the UNFCCC is essential to facilitate open and transparent communication as countries move beyond the Paris Agreement.

Online publication date: Fri, 25-Nov-2016

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Environmental Policy and Decision Making (IJEPDM):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

    Username:        Password:         

Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email