Synthesis and analysis of probabilities of events by non-numeric, inaccurate and incomplete expert information
by Ekaterina Karaseva; Vadim Alexeev
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management (IJRAM), Vol. 18, No. 3/4, 2015

Abstract: In this paper, we describe new kinds of events in logical and probabilistic (LP) risk models. Following LP risk models are considered: hybrid LP-models, conceptual LP-models and LP-models for the operational risk management in a bank. Techniques of synthesis and analysis of probabilities of initiating events on basis of method of summarised and randomised indexes with use of non-numeric, inaccurate and incomplete expert information (NII-information) were developed for LP risk models. 'Expa' software is described with the convenient interface for the synthesis and analysis of probabilities and allocation of resources for change of probabilities of events.

Online publication date: Mon, 17-Aug-2015

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management (IJRAM):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com