Daily inflow forecasting for Dukan reservoir in Iraq using artificial neural networks
by Rafa H. Al-Suhili; Rizgar A. Karim
International Journal of Water (IJW), Vol. 9, No. 2, 2015

Abstract: Five ANN model versions were developed for the daily inflow forecasting to Dukan reservoir in Iraq. These models are dependent on the preceding days' lags (1, 2, 3, 4, and 5), respectively. The model versions forecasting correlation coefficients were found to be (94.6%, 94.6%, 95.2%, 95%, and 73%), respectively. The third model was used for forecasting and found capable of forecasting long term daily inflow series of the Dukan reservoir. Moreover it was found also capable of preserving the high and low persistences of this series in addition to the perfect simulation of the recession part and time to peak of the hydrograph.

Online publication date: Thu, 30-Apr-2015

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