Load forecast of industries in Beijing based on system dynamics simulation method
by Yongxiu He, Liangqi Wu, Dezhi Li, Furong Li
International Journal of Enterprise Network Management (IJENM), Vol. 2, No. 4, 2008

Abstract: Power consumption is influenced by many factors. A great deal of events such as the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games will greatly accelerate the increase of power consumption of Beijing. From the view of system dynamics, this paper analyses the causal relationship of these factors and constructs the simulation system for electricity and the economy to forecast power demand, which is composed of GDP and electricity consumption intensity, etc. Finally, the model was used to forecast the power consumption for Beijing and proved to be comprehensive, accurate and practical.

Online publication date: Mon, 06-Oct-2008

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