Title: Sectoral foresight in Poland: thematic and methodological analysis

Authors: Joanicjusz Nazarko; Urszula Glinska; Anna Kononiuk; Lukasz Nazarko

Addresses: Faculty of Management, Bialystok University of Technology, ul. Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland ' Faculty of Management, Bialystok University of Technology, ul. Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland ' Faculty of Management, Bialystok University of Technology, ul. Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland ' Faculty of Management, Bialystok University of Technology, ul. Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland

Abstract: The aim of the paper is to propose a qualitative framework to the analysis of the Polish foresight projects based on the grounded theory. The dimensions of the analysis are: type of industry, aims and expected results, stakeholders, geographical distribution, time frame and the research horizon, applied methods, budget and funding sources. The study is supplemented by the findings on the foresight projects' impact on policy. Furthermore, the work sets the Polish sectoral foresights against the background of similar projects in other European countries. Based on the study the authors draw conclusions on the current and the potential future role of foresight studies in the development of the knowledge-based economy in Poland.

Keywords: sectoral foresights; foresight comparisons; comparison frameworks; Poland; foresight impact; foresight evaluation; thematic analysis; methodological analysis; qualitative frameworks; foresight projects; grounded theory; industry types; project aims; expected results; stakeholders; geographical distribution; time frames; research horizons; applied methods; budgets; funding sources; policy impacts; knowledge-based economies; Netherlands; Holland; UK; United Kingdom; France; Germany; Finland; Europe; innovation policies; innovation strategies; strategy planning.

DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2013.051759

International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2013 Vol.9 No.1, pp.19 - 38

Published online: 29 Jan 2013 *

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