Title: Objective, methodology and subject area of technology foresight based on bibliometric analysis

Authors: Daisuke Kanama

Addresses: Department of Business and Information Systems, Hokkaido Information University, Nishinopporo 59-2, Ebetsu, Hokkaido, 069-8585, Japan

Abstract: Aiming to obtain an overview of science and technology foresight, this paper examines objective, methodology and subject area of technology foresight in the world. The objective of technology foresight is not only to contribute to science and technology and innovation strategy planning, but also to establish a knowledge base related to science and technology and innovation strategy as a learning tool. Furthermore, a bibliometric analysis of Delphi method, scenario-planning and technology roadmapping has found that the numbers of publications of each methodology have increased, and these subject areas are different by methodology such as health and medicine for Delphi method, environment and energy for scenario-planning, and electricity and semiconductor for technology roadmapping.

Keywords: technology foresight; Delphi method; structured communication; forecasting; bibliometric analysis; objectives; methodologies; subject areas; knowledge base; learning tools; scenario planning; technology roadmapping; roadmaps; technological publications; scientific publications; health; medicine; environment; energy supply; electricity; semiconductors; foresight application; environmental science; Japan; science foresight; innovation policies; innovation strategies; strategy planning.

DOI: 10.1504/IJFIP.2013.051758

International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy, 2013 Vol.9 No.1, pp.3 - 18

Available online: 29 Jan 2013 *

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