Title: Uncertainty measurement and regional comparison of the technology transfer process – an empirical study based on data from 30 provinces in China

Authors: Yingying Qiu; Feng Feng; Leiyong Zhang; Xingteng Li

Addresses: Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 96, JinZhai Road Baohe District, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, China ' Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 96, JinZhai Road Baohe District, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, China ' Hefei Xingtai Financial Holdings (Group) Co., Ltd., Room 2203, No. 1688 Qimen Road, Shushan District of Hefei City, Anhui Province, China; School of Business Anhui Xinhua University, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 96, JinZhai Road Baohe District, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, China ' Management School, University of Science and Technology of China, No. 96, JinZhai Road Baohe District, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, China

Abstract: Technology transfer is a stage-by-stage process that is full of uncertainties. This study uses a graphical evaluation review technology (GERT) network to construct an uncertainty measurement model of the technology transfer process. In addition, the science and technology data input from the 30 provinces and autonomous regions of the provinces in China are used to measure the uncertainty associated with technology transfer in each province. It is concluded that the uncertainty associated with technology transfer in China varies from region to region and has a negative correlation with the level of economic development. Thereafter, with the help of construction of uncertainty difference matrix, the policy recommendation is put forward, in which reducing 'target phase' uncertainty can largely promote transformation of science and technology.

Keywords: technology transfer; uncertainty; graphical evaluation review technology network; target stage; difference matrix.

DOI: 10.1504/IJTM.2022.123735

International Journal of Technology Management, 2022 Vol.89 No.3/4, pp.211 - 231

Accepted: 05 Aug 2021
Published online: 01 Jul 2022 *

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