Econometric analysis of real exchange rate shocks and real growth of the tourism sector in South Africa
by Paul-Francois Muzindutsi; Jean Claude Manaliyo
International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance (IJMEF), Vol. 11, No. 3, 2018

Abstract: The aim of this study was to analyse the interactions between real exchange rate and real income from the tourism sector in South Africa. The vector autoregressive model (VAR) with Johansen multivariate cointegration approach was used to analyse monthly time series from January 2007 to December 2015. This study found a negative long-run relationship between the real exchange rate and real tourism revenue (LTR) in South Africa, where the depreciation of the local currency is associated with an increase in the LTR. Short-run results revealed that LTR is affected by short-run fluctuations in the real exchange rate; while Granger causality test showed that the real exchange rate Granger causes LTR. This study concluded that the weakening of the local currency, against major foreign currencies, seems to be good news for the South African tourism sector.

Online publication date: Mon, 06-Aug-2018

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance (IJMEF):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com