An ARIMA model for the forecasting of healthcare waste generation in the Garhwal region of Uttarakhand, India
by Ankur Chauhan; Amol Singh
International Journal of Services Operations and Informatics (IJSOI), Vol. 8, No. 4, 2017

Abstract: This study has been carried out to analyse and forecast the quantities of healthcare waste generated from the hospitals of Garhwal region of Uttarakhand, India. In this study, a suitable autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model has been developed, on the basis of different statistical parameters, for the forecasting of healthcare waste. The analysis of results on the basis of the statistical parameters such as adjusted R-square value, mean square error and mean absolute percentage error; the AR(1)MA(1) model has been found as the best ARIMA model for the forecasting of healthcare waste generation. The daily data of healthcare waste generation has been used to develop the ARIMA model in this study. The ARIMA model developed in this study would help the waste disposal firm to plan its waste collection and disposal strategy-related decisions in future.

Online publication date: Tue, 12-Sep-2017

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