From Copenhagen to Durban and the challenge for sustainable levels of GHG concentrations
by Socrates Kypreos; Antti Lehtilä
International Journal of Global Energy Issues (IJGEI), Vol. 39, No. 5, 2016

Abstract: The Durban Conference of Parties (COP17) has approved a deal to negotiate and arrange by 2015, a global commitment to reduce greenhouse gases (GHGs) starting from 2020 onwards. COP17 confirmed the Cancún (COP16) agreement concluding that future global warming should be limited to below 2°C post-industrial. This report investigates scenarios of gradually stringent remaining emissions quotas (REQ) resulting to increased probabilities to limit temperature rise below 2°C. REQ are applied as cumulative bounds in the combined TIMES-MACRO model of the USA with the MERGE Integrated Assessment Model both able to analyse technological change. The study summarises the main findings and conclusions of this parametric analysis where all world regions accept a binding protocol or Accord starting in 2020 mitigating global warming. The mathematical description of the combined model that integrates in one set of equations and one objective function two hybrid top-down and bottom-up models with complementary regional representation is described in this paper.

Online publication date: Thu, 01-Sep-2016

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Global Energy Issues (IJGEI):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com