Hotel terrorist attacks and their worldwide/USA performance implications
by Sofia Dermisi
International Journal of the Built Environment and Asset Management (IJBEAM), Vol. 1, No. 4, 2015

Abstract: In recent years terrorists shifted their focus towards 'soft targets', such as hotels, and mass transnational casualties which are analysed in this paper from 1996 through 2014. The trends explored, include: attack cyclicality, factors affecting their frequency, and the financial fallout among luxury, mid-price and economy hotels. The results suggest an 8-year attack cycle on hotels and a 3-year on casualties, with the attack frequency increasing by 75% after 11 September 2001 and new hot spots recently generated. Additionally, countries which are predominantly Muslim, with radical elements, experience a 52% increase in the frequency of attacks on hotels. However, only the luxury hotel Average Daily Rate (ADR) and Revenue-per-Available Room (RevPAR) decreased by 6.9% worldwide and 1.7% in the USA when hotel terrorist attacks occurred. Other socio-economic variables (e.g. GDP/capita, oil prices, recessions) applied had either a non-effect or a diverse effect on attack frequency and hotel revenue.

Online publication date: Tue, 01-Mar-2016

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