Operational short term health impact assessment of air pollution modelling system over Europe
by Roberto San José; Juan Luis Pérez; Rosa M. González
International Journal of Environment and Pollution (IJEP), Vol. 55, No. 1/2/3/4, 2014

Abstract: The last decade, scientific studies have indicated an association between air pollution to which people are exposed and wide range of adverse health outcomes. We have developed a tool which is based on a model (MM5-CMAQ) running over Europe with 50 km spatial resolution, based on EMEP annual emissions, to produce a short-term forecast of the impact on health. In order to estimate the mortality change (forecasted for the next 24 hours) we have chosen a log-linear (Poisson) regression form to estimate the concentration-response function. The parameters involved in the C-R function have been estimated based on epidemiological studies, which have been published. Finally, we have derived the relationship between concentration change and mortality change from the C-R function which is the final health impact function.

Online publication date: Wed, 17-Dec-2014

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