Intelligent piggybacking: a foresight policy tool for small catching-up economies
by Marek Tiits; Tarmo Kalvet
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP), Vol. 9, No. 2/3/4, 2013

Abstract: Most of the modern foresight literature and practice have treated all economies as being largely the same. High-profile technology foresight activities, which have served as best practice models, describe possible future development scenarios or trajectories on the cutting edge of science and technology. Such a 'grand narratives' approach, while appropriate for advanced industrialised economies, is not suitable for small catching-up economies that should opt, instead, for an 'intelligent piggybacking' approach to foresight. This approach focuses on mapping global development trajectories and finding the possibilities for restructuring and upgrading existing technological and production capabilities. Recent foresight experiences in Estonia are discussed in light of the model proposed.

Online publication date: Fri, 28-Feb-2014

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