Stochastic models of oil spill processes
by Hans W. Gottinger
International Journal of Environment and Pollution (IJEP), Vol. 15, No. 3, 2001

Abstract: This paper models the occurrence of an environmental accident as a stochastic event. In particular, the situation of an oil spill is explored. Characteristics of the ship operator, and the different types of the ship's operating environment determine a stochastic process governing the time patterns and size of spills. It is shown that both the time distribution of different types of oil spill and the distribution of spill size are affected by pollution control instruments such as fines, by enforcement effort, and by the alert level of the operating personnel.

Online publication date: Thu, 09-Sep-2004

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