Performance evaluation of Adstock models using market drivers in the consumer packaged goods (CPG) industry
by K. Antony Arokia Durai Raj; Balasubramanian Kanagasabapathi; Suyashi Shrivastava; Kunal Krishnan; Mitul Shah
International Journal of Electronic Marketing and Retailing (IJEMR), Vol. 5, No. 2, 2012

Abstract: The impact that advertising has over consumer awareness and in turn on sales volume is called as Adstock. It means stocking the advertising activity by integrating prior advertising expenditures into a stock variable and considering 'carry-over effect' over the years. Adstock is not an aggressive plan to augment sales. Rather, it is a planned activity to keep the sales steady over a given period, increase awareness and strengthen brand equity. Planned scheduling and execution of budget spending in achieving this advertising goal dictates the growth or decay in sales of a product. This research focuses on measuring the Adstock using television gross rating points (TV-GRP) and non-TV media variables by using different methods available to model Adstock. In this study, we investigated the models available in the literature describing the 'decay-effect' over a given period on live data from the consumer packaged goods (CPG) company. In addition, we have presented modified forms of the S-shaped curve model and the exponential model. The proposed exponential model with both TV-GRP and non-TV media as independent variables has shown superior performance over the other models. All the results have been computed using the Statistical Analysis System (SAS) Enterprise Guide 4.1.

Online publication date: Wed, 27-Aug-2014

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