Experts and foresight: review and experience Online publication date: Wed, 26-May-2004
by Denis Loveridge
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP), Vol. 1, No. 1/2, 2004
Abstract: Experts and their opinions are widely sought, but there are serious questions to be asked about both experts and their opinions. Governments, through their advisory committees, companies and adversarial groups eagerly seek expert opinion with which to influence the formulation of policy and regulations of all kinds. In a different sphere, expert opinion is also a powerful feature of many complex court cases where many expert witnesses find themselves in circumstances beyond their normal experience and where their evidence may be manipulated in ways they never anticipated. Here, the nature of expert opinion and its elicitation are first surveyed, necessarily in brief and subsequently the methods and methodological issues of elicitation are discussed, all in relation to foresight activity. Finally, the implications for the practice of foresight, particularly in their manifestation in public foresight programmes, are discussed.
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:
Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.
If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com