Economic model system of chronic diseases in Australia: a novel approach initially focusing on diabetes and cardiovascular disease
by Agnes Walker, James R.G. Butler, Stephen Colagiuri
International Journal of Simulation and Process Modelling (IJSPM), Vol. 6, No. 2, 2010

Abstract: Chronic diseases affect around 80% of older Australians, are main causes of premature death, and account for 70% of health expenditures. The novel features, building and validation of an Australian prototype model-system which simulates interventions that target several chronic diseases are described. Chronic disease progression models are linked to a population-wide microsimulation projection model that accounts for demographic, socio-economic and health characteristics, comorbidities, health expenditures, quality of life. It estimates costs vs. benefits of simulated policy interventions. The outcome is a validated person-level prototype able to simultaneously model diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease (CVD). An illustrative model application is also presented.

Online publication date: Tue, 12-Oct-2010

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