Making strategic short-term cost estimation by annualised experience curve
by Yu Sang Chang
International Journal of Applied Management Science (IJAMS), Vol. 2, No. 3, 2010

Abstract: For strategic purposes of setting price and productivity targets, organisations need to make projection of long-term cost as well as short-term cost estimation. For long-term cost estimation, organisations do rely on the experience curve among other methodologies. However, for short-term cost estimation, organisations rely more on cost accounting, budgeting and engineering approaches. Why? This paper discusses major obstacles of using experience curve and develops an alternative concept of annualised experience curve. The annualised experience curve enables the estimation of current unit cost for the next period simply as function of the growth rate of the next period's production volume over that of the current period. Thus, the annualised experience curve offers a viable alternative to other time-based percentage forecasting methods in use. When the annualised experience curve is used, it will likely bring an added benefit of including more experts from production and marketing areas in the process of cost estimation.

Online publication date: Sun, 06-Jun-2010

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Applied Management Science (IJAMS):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

    Username:        Password:         

Forgotten your password?


Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com