The problem of judgement in constructing numerical models for policy analysis
by Stephen R. Watson
International Journal of Technology Management (IJTM), Vol. 17, No. 1/2, 1999

Abstract: In many different fields it is now commonplace for complex numerical models to be constructed with a view to illuminating public policy issues. The analysts who construct these models have to make many decisions on how to represent the issues numerically, and they sometimes seek expert advice in this task. In this paper we first justify our assertion that modelling problems of this nature involve judgement. Then we discuss the problem of how to determine appropriate expert judgement for this task. Finally we argue that the status of expertise in this task is problematic and that this has implications for interpreting the outputs of such models.

Online publication date: Sat, 05-Jul-2003

The full text of this article is only available to individual subscribers or to users at subscribing institutions.

 
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.

Pay per view:
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.

Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Technology Management (IJTM):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:

Username:        Password:          Forgotten your password?

Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.

If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com