Corporate failure risk assessment of Greek companies Online publication date: Mon, 07-Jul-2008
by Athanasios Tsagkanos, Antonios Georgopoulos, Dimitrios P. Koumanakos, Evangelos P. Koumanakos
International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management (IJRAM), Vol. 9, No. 1/2, 2008
Abstract: In this paper, we investigate the determinants of corporate failure risk for the Greek non-financial companies using public accounts. Our motivation stems from the results of a recent international survey revealing that, during the period 2003–2004, Greece showed the biggest in terms of percentage, increase in corporate insolvencies among all the European countries. By exploiting a recent database and a set of variables as possible predictors of corporate failure, we use two competitive logit models comparing their predictive accuracy. Surprisingly, both the models exhibit low failure prediction ability a fact that intensify concerns about the quality of financial reporting of the Greek firms.
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