Behaviour validity of a simulation model for sustainable development Online publication date: Mon, 18-Feb-2008
by Hassan Qudrat-Ullah
International Journal of Management and Decision Making (IJMDM), Vol. 9, No. 2, 2008
Abstract: System dynamics simulation models are well suited for the analysis of problems related to sustainable development. This is due to their ability to take an integrative view of social, economic and environmental factors and link the observable patterns to microlevel structure and decision process. Despite their capabilities, the acceptance of system dynamics simulation models by the broader community of decision makers is limited. We argue that reluctance by the system dynamics modellers to expose their models to formal behaviour validity procedures is the main problem. This leads to an outline of formal behaviour validity procedures available but less explored in system dynamics modelling 'repertoire'. An illustration of the multiple tests and the Theil inequality statistics for behaviour validity of a system dynamics simulation model for sustainable energy policy development follows. Finally, various conclusions on the increased appeal for simulation models for sustainable development initiatives are also presented.
Existing subscribers:
Go to Inderscience Online Journals to access the Full Text of this article.
If you are not a subscriber and you just want to read the full contents of this article, buy online access here.Complimentary Subscribers, Editors or Members of the Editorial Board of the International Journal of Management and Decision Making (IJMDM):
Login with your Inderscience username and password:
Want to subscribe?
A subscription gives you complete access to all articles in the current issue, as well as to all articles in the previous three years (where applicable). See our Orders page to subscribe.
If you still need assistance, please email subs@inderscience.com