Evaluating alternative fuels in USA: a proposed forecasting framework using AHP and scenarios
by M.R. Nava, Tugrul U. Daim
International Journal of Automotive Technology and Management (IJATM), Vol. 7, No. 4, 2007

Abstract: This paper proposes a forecasting framework that integrates the analytic hierarchy process with scenario analysis techniques to explore the commercialisation of future motor fuel technologies. We analyse the reasons for the uncertainty of oil price and how it affects alternative fuel commercialisation. We propose a set of evaluation criteria including Economic, Cultural, Environmental, Sustainability and Development Time. Finally, we develop four different Scenarios to verify the robustness of each alternative.

Online publication date: Wed, 06-Feb-2008

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