Integrated foresight for the healthcare sector in Turkey Online publication date: Sun, 30-Dec-2007
by Ozgur Kalan, Alper Alsan
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP), Vol. 3, No. 4, 2007
Abstract: The accelerated globalisation is opening up the frontiers of countries to increased competition and social change. In order to manage this highly complex environment, more and more countries are developing capacities to carry out foresight studies on corporate, sectoral and national levels and link it to their innovation policies. Sectoral foresight studies had a slower start in Turkey compared to national studies. In this paper, an integrated foresight process is introduced which enables the integration of two different methodologies, i.e. Delphi and system dynamics modelling, with a balanced approach and hence the creation of future-related knowledge for sectors. The case study of the integrated foresight for the healthcare sector in Turkey is presented. With the integrated foresight process, a sector can create new future-related knowledge and defining the causal loops in the sector system in order to develop strategic action-plans for the future.
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