Combining the best concepts of agile methods with concepts from predictive ones: applications of simulations, scenarios, and logic
by Pinyarat Sirisomboonsuk; James R. Burns; Ray Qing Cao
International Journal of Project Organisation and Management (IJPOM), Vol. 14, No. 3, 2022

Abstract: In this paper, we utilise deductive analytics based on a review of the literature as well as stochastic simulation, and scenarios to perform a comparison between predictive methods like waterfall and adaptive methods such as scrum. We compare these methods using several project management performance criteria such as cost, duration, value delivered, payback (breakeven) period, predictability, project size, criticality, complexity, challenges, etc. Based on these findings, we synthesise a new plan-driven, predictive procedure that will enable it to be competitive with the adaptive/agile methods in situations where it makes sense to use a predictive method.

Online publication date: Mon, 03-Oct-2022

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