Forthcoming articles


International Journal of Emergency Management


These articles have been peer-reviewed and accepted for publication in IJEM, but are pending final changes, are not yet published and may not appear here in their final order of publication until they are assigned to issues. Therefore, the content conforms to our standards but the presentation (e.g. typesetting and proof-reading) is not necessarily up to the Inderscience standard. Additionally, titles, authors, abstracts and keywords may change before publication. Articles will not be published until the final proofs are validated by their authors.


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International Journal of Emergency Management (21 papers in press)


Regular Issues


  • A closer examination of command and control practices by incident commanders during realistic operational exercises in the Netherlands   Order a copy of this article
    by Jelle Groenendaal, Ira Helsloot 
    Abstract: Little scholarly attention has been devoted to understanding command and control practices among incident commanders and the extent to which these practices contribute to response safety and efficiency. This article examines incident command and control practices of 23 battalion chiefs from a Dutch Fire Service during realistic exercises using largely identical scenarios. A helmet-mounted camera in conjunction with field observation was used to gather data. The results show that although incident command and control practices varied in detail, the strategies used were largely the same. No relationship was discovered between incident command and control practices and response safety and efficiency. A reason for the lack of significance of the command and control function was that battalion chiefs relied essentially on information and advice given by crew commanders, which did not provide a basis for insights other than those already present among crew commanders. Implications for practice are provided.
    Keywords: Incident command and control; incident commander; battalion chief; fire service; emergemcy; front line; naturalistic decision making.

  • Pre-positioning facilities for collecting tents from communities for post-earthquake relief   Order a copy of this article
    by Jing-Xian Zhou, Zhi-Hua Hu, Xiang Li 
    Abstract: Pre-positioning facilities for collecting tents distributed in communities is critical to improve the efficacy of tent collection and supply in post-earthquake relief. This paper aims at a pre-positioning problem for facilities that collect the tents in communities by considering various earthquake scenarios. A bi-stage stochastic programming model is formulated for the facility location problem. The model minimises the economic costs and time-related penalty costs. Considering the effects of objective weights and known parameters on the solutions, five experiments were performed and analysed for studying the proposed model. A case illustrates the location problem for the facilities for collecting tents from communities in Pudong New District, Shanghai, China, in the relief of the Yaan earthquake.
    Keywords: emergency logistics; location problem; stochastic programming; uncertain scenario; earthquake

  • Terrorist attacks with explosive weapons: pattern of injuries and health constraints   Order a copy of this article
    by Georg Schmidt 
    Abstract: Terrorist attacks are on the rise and aim to create vast damage and large numbers of injured people. Explosive weapons have become the predominant ordnance for terror-related events, and more countries have to deal with the aftermath of bombing incidents. These attacks can create mass-casualty emergencies and trigger complex pattern of injuries. This article uses appropriate secondary literature to review these patterns of injuries, and discusses the constraints for health systems. It appears that fragments of explosive weapons trigger the highest number of injuries. Subsequently, the predominant injuries can be researched in penetrating traumas and complex bone fractures. Triage can be researched as a key task after terror-related bombings to minimise mortality amongst survivors. A close collaboration of all involved health staff will be required to adapt to bombing events. Additional training for health staff might be needed to adapt to terror bombings, and the civilian health structure might benefit from experienced military medical forces.
    Keywords: terrorist attacks, terror-related events, explosive weapons, bombing events, bombing incidents, pattern of injuries, terror-related events, mass casualty emergencies, emergency management, clinical management, emergency triage.

  • Decomposing issue patterns in crisis communication: the case of the lost airliner   Order a copy of this article
    by Boyang Zhang, Marita Vos, Jari Veijalainen 
    Abstract: This research explores the relation between a crisis and public discussion of related issues. In the context of organisational crisis communication often a single-issue strategy is proposed, which does not fit more complex crises. The assumption is that the lifecycle of a crisis encompasses shorter lifecycles of issues that receive media attention. Decomposing the online crisis debate into a pattern of issues supports understanding of public perceptions, and hence of crisis response and communication. This is investigated through an analysis of Facebook posts concerning the loss of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370 in 2014. The analysis shows that during the life of the crisis a variety of related issues arose that became topics of public debate co-created by various actors. Compassion for victims dominated in the early stages of the crisis, while later on reputation issues took over. The insights help to understand results of social media monitoring during complex company crises.
    Keywords: crisis communication; organisational communication; issue arenas; issues management; social media

  • Seismic risk assessment and design of tourism buildings using probability analysis   Order a copy of this article
    by Chung-Hung Tsai 
    Abstract: The average recurrence interval of major earthquakes is approximately a century. Consequently, the existing data are insufficient for an accurate estimation of average losses. The main objective of this research is to study the disaster-prone characteristics of hotels by using modern concepts of risk management (i.e., loss exceedance probability analysis, seismic hazard analysis, and so on) and then combine the relevant basic research data from domestic and foreign sources to develop a seismic risk assessment and management system suitable for the hospitality industry. The proposed seismic risk management and risk evaluation system will also provide governments, hotel asset owners, insurance companies, and banks in Taiwan that have similar regional characteristics with the necessary seismic risk information to help the tourism industry effectively evaluate and manage the natural disaster risk.
    Keywords: seismic risk assessment; catastrophic risk; loss exceedance probability analysis; seismic hazard analysis

  • Towards a maturity model to assess field hospitals rollout   Order a copy of this article
    by Nicolas Daclin, Gilles Dusserre, Laurie Mailhac, Bruno Lhéritier, Jean Blanchard, Alexandra Picard 
    Abstract: The rollout of a field hospital is a crucial aspect in a crisis context. It has to be performed in a responsive, effective and efficient manner in order to provide its services. In order to improve the rollout, it can be evaluated following a rigorous method in order to know precisely its strengths and weaknesses and how it can be improved to reach defined or reachable and realistic objectives. The work presented here focuses on the means to evaluate the rollout of a field hospital, and presents the first development of a model based on the concept of maturity assessment. This kind of evaluation allows users to know the level of goal achievement with regards to a specific domain. Thus, the purpose is to show the approach and the structure of the maturity model for the assessment of the field hospitals rollout and, in the end, its improvement.
    Keywords: field hospitals’ rollout; maturity model; areas of interest; maturity levels; maturity assessment.

  • The clustering analysis and spatial interpolation of intense rainfall data   Order a copy of this article
    by Zhi-Mou Chen, Yi-Lung Yeh, Ting-Chien Chen 
    Abstract: Rainfall data are one basis for quantifying the scale of a disaster. Therefore, mastering the rainfall data during disaster periods is an important task. Unfortunately, there are two problems involved in the inspection of the past rainfall records. First, rainfall data have been lost owing to unforeseen factors. Second, recently established rainfall stations do not have any past rainfall data. To cope with this problem, this study first collected the hourly rainfall records from past disaster events. Next, a statistic cluster analysis method was adopted to analyse the correlation between the rainfall records in each station. Finally, a spatial interpolation computing method was applied within each cluster to predict reliable rainfall estimates for the areas that lacked past rainfall records. The clustering for the rainfall stations in the plain areas was simpler than the complicated clustering for the mountainous regions. The cluster analysis results showed that selecting the nearby three to four rainfall stations for the spatial interpolation analysis simplified the calculation process. In particular, the result of grouped cluster analysis could enhance the accuracy of the rainfall estimation in the mountainous areas. This study established a reliable rainfall estimation method as a basis for future regional disaster analysis.
    Keywords: intense rainfall, cluster analysis, spatial interpolation computing, rainfall estimation.

  • Recognising and promoting the unique capacities of the elderly   Order a copy of this article
    by Xiaoxin Zhu, Baiqing Sun 
    Abstract: Disasters tend to hit the poorest and most marginalised demographics the hardest. The elderly are particularly exposed to disaster risk and are likely to suffer from higher rates of mortality, morbidity and economic damage to their livelihoods. However, they are seldom given due consideration in disaster response for their specific needs and are often neglected, particularly compared with children. Using a quantitative methodology, this article aims to evaluate whether age has an impact on the mortality rate, explores the age groups with the greatest vulnerabilities in the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, China and the 1995 Kobe Earthquake, Japan. Data of the final death tolls and total population sorted by age in these two earthquakes were collected from the HYOGO Pref-medical Association and the Dujiangyan Bureau of Statistics. One-way ANOVA (multiple comparison analysis) was applied to analyse the data. Results of this study showed that in the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake in China and the 1995 Kobe earthquake in Japan there is a more significant relationship between the elderly aged over 75 and the mean mortality rate than to children. To achieve greater resilience to disasters requires that older peoples greater vulnerabilities are identified, and their unique abilities are recognised and promoted to enhance disaster risk reduction.
    Keywords: emergency management vulnerability; disaster; the elderly; disaster risk reduction.

  • Managing conflict in the public sector during crises: the impact on crisis management team effectiveness   Order a copy of this article
    by Vassileios Tokakis, Panagiotis Polychroniou, George Boustras 
    Abstract: This study aims to investigate the relationships between emotional intelligence, communication, decision making and conflict management styles in crisis management teams (CMT), giving emphasis on leader-team member interaction during crisis situations. Participants were 177 individuals involved in crisis management teams representing Greek public organisations and government. Data were collected by means of structured questionnaires in a series of personal interviews. Results indicate that team members' ability to make decisions, internal communication and leaders' emotional intelligence are positively associated with cooperation and integration within CMT in the public sector. Implications for management are discussed, including the need for leaders to further develop emotional intelligence competencies, so that team members are motivated to integrate activities and attain common goals, thus increasing CMT effectiveness.
    Keywords: conflict management, emotional intelligence, communication, decision making, crisis management team, public sector, crisis.

  • A multiagent system for transboundary monitoring   Order a copy of this article
    by Viacheslav Abrosimov 
    Abstract: This paper analyses the monitoring problem of emergency situations in neighbouring territories. An emergency situation affects several countries that may have different relations (cooperation, conflict) with each other. We consider conditions when a certain side appears unable to assess the scale of the threat and eliminate it independently. This side requests relief and assistance from another side, with obligatory satisfaction of objective national constraints. The idea is to solve transboundary monitoring problems using international fleets of aircraft with collective behavioural strategies and information exchange. We design a typical behavioural strategy for an aircraft within an international fleet. This strategy takes into account situational uncertainty, the possibility of assistance, and a confidence measure for the information acquired by the sides. The efficiency of the proposed approach is verified by simulation modelling of the transboundary monitoring processes using AnyLogic platform.
    Keywords: transboundariness, monitoring, fleets, aircrafts, information, exchange, emergency situation, confidence measure

  • A review of coverage models applied to emergency location   Order a copy of this article
    by Meryam Benabdouallah, Chakib Bojji 
    Abstract: In the context of healthcare system reforms, the management of pre hospital logistics emergency has been addressed by several researchers around the world. Western countries are embarked on a major restructuring of their healthcare systems. Upgrading hospitals and particularly improving the efficiency of emergency activities are among the priority fields of health strategy in the world. In order to achieve this goal, the management and the modelling of the ambulance fleet, using a set of tools such as simulation and mathematical programming, are the main approaches exploited by researchers to ensure an optimal coverage of a territory. This paper is a review of coverage models applied to the emergency location. It analyses these models classified under three classes. The static class focuses on the earlier models about emergency location coverage. The probabilistic class defines the possibility of ambulance unavailability once needed to achieve an emergency intervention. The dynamic class describes how to reassign dynamically the vehicles and aims to ensure an optimal coverage of a territory. Next, the article sheds new light on several parameters used during simulation of coverage models. Each stage of the review paper is concluded by a comprehensive summary. This paper gives a critical overview of coverage models existing in the literature. Such a paper that combines the classification of existing models, the mathematical programming methods and the simulation parameters, extends the researches of emergency management system.
    Keywords: hospital logistics; emergency service; deployment; redeployment; coverage location; ambulance.
    DOI: 10.1504/IJEM.2016.10003395
  • Facility location in humanitarian relief: a review   Order a copy of this article
    by Ashish Trivedi, Amol Singh 
    Abstract: Humanitarian logistics and supply chain management have emerged as areas of research interest in the last decade, owing to increased frequency and impact of disasters. Facility location decisions are critical to the success of any humanitarian relief effort and thus have found significant attention from researchers and practitioners. This study aims to present current practices, trends and developments in facility location research. They are then used to identify and recommend areas for future research. A systematic review of existing literature is carried out over a period of eleven years (2005-2015) by classifying it exhaustively on basis of several dimensions such as disaster types, speed of occurrence, methodology adopted, model structure, objective functions, constraints and solution techniques. The literature is also categorised according to year of publication and journals. The paper establishes an agenda for future research in facility location domain of humanitarian logistics using an operational research perspective.
    Keywords: facility location, disaster response, humanitarian logistics, optimisation models.

  • Improved spatial organisation of sensor networks to reduce wildfire impact   Order a copy of this article
    by David Budden, Xu Zhong, Mahathir Almashor, Kent Steer 
    Abstract: Wildfires are particularly dangerous in areas where communities colocate with regions of dense vegetation. Early detection helps minimise response time and community impact, with networks of wireless sensors widely accepted as the best available early warning solution. However, financial constraints often cause sensors to be spatially distributed in a sparse and random (or pseudouniform) manner. This paper presents a new approach to sensor placement by employing maps of wildfire impact. Such maps pinpoint ignition loci that lead to more destructive fires and hence, locations where early identification is essential. We leverage IBM Evacuation Planner (EVA) to generate these maps from a pipeline of simulation components including: fire progression, evacuee behaviour and traffic simulation. Accordingly, these yield insights into potential community impact, and from them, we propose and evaluate two algorithms for sensor placement. The effectiveness of our approach is demonstrated through a case study in Mount Dandenong, Victoria, Australia.
    Keywords: simulation; wildfire; sensor placement; community loss.

  • Multi-objective optimisation model of emergency material allocation in emergency logistics: a view of utility, priority, and economic principles   Order a copy of this article
    by Daqiang Chen, Fei Ding, Huang Ying, Danzhi Sun 
    Abstract: This study presented a multi-objective optimisation model of emergency material allocation with a utilitypriorityeconomy allocation strategy. This strategy is suitable for a multi-depot and multiply affected area emergency logistics system. This proposed allocation strategy comprises three principles, namely, utility, priority, and economy. First, according to the analysis of the three principles, three objectives were set as the total utility of allocated emergency materials, total satisfaction of emergency requirement, and total cost of emergency material allocation. Second, the solution procedure for the proposed multi-objective optimisation model was designed on the basis of goal programming. Third, the model and the solution procedure were evaluated with a simulation case from the Wenchuan earthquake. Results confirm that this model and solution procedure can effectively address emergency material allocation problems with a more reasonable solution.
    Keywords: emergency logistics; emergency material allocation; multi-objective optimisation; goal programming.

  • A literature review of methods for providing enhanced operational oversight of teams in emergency management   Order a copy of this article
    by Christopher Bearman, Benjamin Brooks, Christine Owen, Steven Curnin, Sophia Rainbird 
    Abstract: Teamwork is an important component of effective emergency management. From time to time teamwork will break down in the complex situations involved in managing emergencies. It is important for people who have operational oversight of these teams to be able to detect these breakdowns quickly and effectively. However, there is typically little guidance within many agencies about how best to do this. This paper reviews the literature on team monitoring by observers in emergency management and related domains and identifies four key approaches to monitoring teams by observers: 1) Coordination, Cooperation and Task-Related Communication (3C); 2) Information Flow (IF), 3) Linguistic Analysis (LA) and 4) Team Outputs (TO). These methods provide a number of different options that agencies involved in emergency management can use as the basis for developing enhanced operational oversight of teams.
    Keywords: emergency management; teamwork; monitoring; wildfire; response; safety.

  • Sector prioritisation in Rabat region for emergency management   Order a copy of this article
    by Meryam Benabdouallah, Chakib Bojji 
    Abstract: Setting priorities of sectors in an emergency intervention is an important unit to improve the healthcare management of a city. The goal of this paper is to prioritise sectors in Rabat region of Morocco when two or more emergency calls are received in call centres of hospitals, using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). This prioritisation is based on social, demographic and proximity criteria that lead to rank the ten sectors of the region. The paper shows that the proposed AHP methodology is consistent and allows a real ranking of Rabat sectors.
    Keywords: emergency service; AHP; hospital logistics; prioritisation; sector.

  • Mapping community diversity and e-participation in emergency management: evidence from WebEOC in the city of San Francisco   Order a copy of this article
    by Kyujin Jung 
    Abstract: While scholars and practitioners in the field of emergency management have investigated the nature of civic engagement, little research has been undertaken on the impact of community diversity on civic participation. Meanwhile, WebEOC, 'Emergency Operation Center in the Internet', is seen as a good tool to increase response capacity of emergency management through citizens participation. By using the WebEOC log history and American Community Survey data in the city of San Francisco, spatial autocorrelation and cluster analysis of the Arc Geographic Information System is used to analyse how community diversity affects civic participation in emergency management. The spatial analysis results show that the high level of e-participation in urban emergency management appears in highly dense block groups, such as central business districts and secondary commercial areas. In terms of the effects of community diversity, the results confirm that community diversity in income, occupancy, and tenure are spatially correlated in the block groups. The findings also provide theoretical insights into the nature of community diversity that accounts for citizens who participate in urban emergency management through social media, particularly providing critical information for mitigating hazards.
    Keywords: e-participation; community diversity; emergency management; WebEOC.

  • Understanding emergency response: lessons learned from the helping literature   Order a copy of this article
    by Daphne Whitmer, Madeleine LaGoy, Valerie Sims 
    Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate the need for collaboration between two areas of research: classical psychological helping behaviours and emergency warnings. A large-scale disaster (i.e., the Chicago heatwave) is used throughout the paper as an example in which knowledge of the helping behaviour literature could have assisted emergency responders. The emergency warning literature is reviewed within the context of people heeding the warnings and deciding to share the information with others. Developments in the helping literature are reviewed, along with a final summary of key lessons from this area of experimental research that can help answer questions for future emergency responders. With a better understanding of experimental findings in the area of prosocial behaviours, emergency managers may be better able to assist their communities. Likewise, a greater collaboration between these two fields may lead to more research with the intent of improving emergency response.
    Keywords: emergency management; helping; communication; emergency warnings; emergency response; risk perception.

  • Resilience from the real world towards specific organisational resilience in emergency response organisations   Order a copy of this article
    by John Van Trijp, Kees Boersma, Peter Groenewegen 
    Abstract: In this paper, we present a quick overview of six types of resilience to present a minimalistic sketch of the resilience landscape and show the definitions for resilience originally have a mechanistic point of view (bounce back after disaster has struck), in contrast to the present day approach, in which adaptive learning capabilities embedded in strong network-relationships are of vital importance for resilience. Eventually we focus on organisational resilience for emergency response organisations. Organisational resilience is of great importance to an emergency response organisation to cope adequately with outcomes before or after a crisis emerges. We briefly introduce a quantitative organisational resilience model for Dutch emergency response organisations (Safety Regions). We present studies describing and clarifying the variables and attributes based on this quantitative model, and draw relevant conclusions.
    Keywords: organisational resilience; keystone vulnerabilities; situational awareness; adaptive capacity; quality; emergency response organisation; quantitative resilience model; emergency management; emergency response.

  • The fire station location problem: a literature survey   Order a copy of this article
    by Esra Aleisa 
    Abstract: Urban fire causes significant threat to lives and property. The location of a fire station is critical to reduce response time and eventually increase the possibility of beating dangerous life-threatening flashovers. Fuzzy international standards, population density, traffic conditions, and distance to other existing fire stations and fire resources are some of the criteria considered in the fire station location problem. In this paper, we conduct a thorough literature survey of well-founded research that brings forth methodologies for better locations of fire stations . It compares methodologies that adopt fuzzy multi-objective optimisation, maximal coverage, geographic information systems, Genetic Algorithm, Ant Algorithm, Tabu Search, and Simulated Annealing to solve the complex problem with higher efficiency and in due course to increase the possibility of rescue and survival.
    Keywords: fire stations; location; response time.

  • Social media in emergency management: exploring Twitter use by emergency responders in the UK   Order a copy of this article
    by Sophie Parsons, Mark Weal, Nathaniel O'Grady, Peter Atkinson 
    Abstract: Emergency Management practices are being reshaped by social media. Emergency responders are embracing social media to enhance communications during an emergency. The integration of social media into UK emergency management is ambigious, and it is uncertain as to whether it is an effective tool. Using a mixed methods approach, this research investigates the UK emergency responders use of social media for emergency management, focusing in particular on the UK winter floods of 2013/14. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the UK emergency responders social media activity is examined. This research shows that the responders perceive social media as a useful tool to effectively deliver information to the public, although they do not appear to fully exploit it in an emergency. While the responders appear to predominantly post caution and advice, the results suggest that information about structures and utilities affected by an incident is most likely to engage an audience.
    Keywords: UK floods; emergency management; social media; audience engagement; mixed methods; Twitter; emergency responders; emergency communications; local resilience forums; thematic analysis.