Title: The evaluation of CO₂ emissions mitigation scenarios for Turkish electricity sector

Authors: Betül Özer; Selahattin İncecik; Erdem Görgün

Addresses: Faculty of Technology, Department of Energy Systems Engineering, Kırklareli University, Kırklareli, Turkey ' Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Department of Meteorology, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak, Istanbul, Turkey ' Faculty of Civil Engineering, Department of Environmental Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Maslak, Istanbul, Turkey

Abstract: This study presents the results on the simulations of the scenarios based on the CO₂ emission reduction of the electricity sector in Turkey, utilising the long-range energy alternatives planning (LEAP) system model, and the mitigation costs of the scenarios. Three scenarios including baseline scenario, (scenario 1) and the two mitigation scenarios (scenario 2 and scenario 3) are employed. The scenario 1 is based on the continuation of the recent electricity generation composition. Scenario 2 is established for the evaluation of all the renewable energy potential, except solar, of Turkey while scenario 3 included all the renewable and nuclear energy. The CO₂ emission intensity decreased by 20.5% and 35.6% for the scenarios 2 and 3 in 2030, respectively compared to the baseline scenario. The CO₂ emission mitigation costs are found 17 $/ton CO₂ and 40 $/ton CO₂ for the Scenarios 2 and 3, respectively through 2010 to 2030.

Keywords: electricity sector; CO2; carbon dioxide; carbon emissions; mitigation scenarios; mitigation costs; LEAP model; renewable energy; nuclear energy; nuclear power; Turkey; electricity generation; air pollution.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGW.2017.082178

International Journal of Global Warming, 2017 Vol.11 No.2, pp.157 - 181

Received: 24 Oct 2014
Accepted: 28 Feb 2015
Published online: 12 Feb 2017 *

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