Title: Risk adjustment and risk-adjusted provider profiles

Authors: Michael Shwartz, Arlene Ash, Erol Pekoz

Addresses: Department of Operations and Technology Management, School of Management, Boston University, 595 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA. ' Section of General Internal Medicine, Boston Medical Center, 720 Harrison Avenue, # 1108, Boston, MA 02118, USA. ' Department of Operations and Technology Management, School of Management, Boston University, 595 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA 02215, USA

Abstract: Provider profiles are an important component of efforts to improve both healthcare productivity and quality. Risk adjustment is the attempt to account for differences in the risk for specific outcomes of cases in different groups in order to facilitate more meaningful comparisons. The value of provider profiles, whether used internally or released to the public, depends both on adequate risk adjustment and on distinguishing systematic differences in either the quality or productivity of care from random fluctuations. In this paper, we discuss how risk adjustment systems can be used to predict outcomes for individual cases; methods for measuring and comparing the performance of risk adjustment systems; and how random variation can affect provider performance data and several approaches for addressing random variation in risk-adjusted provider profiles. In the last section, we illustrate the methods discussed by developing and analysing risk-adjusted provider profiles for 69 family practitioners responsible for over 68,000 cases.

Keywords: risk adjustment; provider profiling; healthcare productivity; healthcare quality; performance measurement; productivity improvement; quality improvement.

DOI: 10.1504/IJHTM.2006.007871

International Journal of Healthcare Technology and Management, 2006 Vol.7 No.1/2, pp.15 - 42

Published online: 29 Sep 2005 *

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