Title: MDESRAP: a model for understanding the dynamics of electricity supply, resources and pollution

Authors: Hassan Qudrat-Ullah

Addresses: School of Administrative Studies, York University, 4700 Keele Street Toronto, Ont. M3J 1P3, Canada

Abstract: The inherent dynamic complexity of the energy policy design problem makes the conventional ||closed-form|| solution impossible. This paper contributes a dynamic simulation model as a possible solution. The model captures the dynamics of underlying sectors of electricity demand, investment, capital, resource, production, environment and costs and pricing. The existing feedback loops, nonlinearity and time-lag characteristics present in the real world electricity systems are incorporated in the model. The model is calibrated to Pakistan|s case data. How the model has been used in policy assessments and the design of the alternative energy policies subject to various environmental and resource constraints is also discussed.

Keywords: CO₂ emissions; carbon dioxide; dynamic simulation model; Pakistan; system dynamics; energy policy design; electricity supply; alternative energy policies; environmental constraints; resource constraints; environmental pollution; sustainable development.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGEI.2005.006407

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 2005 Vol.23 No.1, pp.1 - 14

Published online: 03 Mar 2005 *

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