Title: Technologies of logic and probabilistic management of risk of social and economic systems

Authors: Eugene Dmitrievich Solozhentsev

Addresses: Laboratory of Intelligent Integrated Systems of Computer-Aided Design, Institute of Problems in Mechanical Engineering, Russian Academy of Sciences, Bolshoi 61, V.O., Saint-Petersburg, 199178, Russia

Abstract: We propose the risk of logic and probabilistic management technologies of social and economic systems for informational and analytical support of leaders and of managers to make decisions. We describe components of risk management technologies. We give an example of risk logic and probabilistic (LP) model of successful development of Russia. We state methods of quantitative LP-analysis and operational and strategic LP-management of risk. We develop the methods and procedures of synthesis and analysis of events probabilities in risk LP-models.

Keywords: risk management technology; risk logic models; probability; social systems; economic systems; risk probabilistic models; state sustainable development; state sustainability.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2014.062776

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2014 Vol.17 No.3, pp.171 - 187

Received: 06 Mar 2013
Accepted: 07 Sep 2013
Published online: 26 Jul 2014 *

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