Title: A policy dimension required for technology roadmapping: learning from the emergence of Chinese wind turbine industry

Authors: Yuan Zhou; Guannan Xu; Tim Minshall; Jun Su

Addresses: School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China ' School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China ' Centre for Technology Management, Institute for Manufacturing, University of Cambridge, 17 Charles Babbage Road, Cambridge CB3 0FS, UK ' School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China

Abstract: Innovation policies play an important role throughout the development process of emerging industries in China. Existing policy and industry studies view the emergence process as a black-box, and fail to understand the impacts of policy to the process along which it varies. This paper aims to develop a multi-dimensional roadmapping tool to better analyse the dynamics between policy and industrial growth for new industries in China. Through reviewing the emergence process of Chinese wind turbine industry, this paper elaborates how policy and other factors influence the emergence of this industry along this path. Further, this paper generalises some Chinese specifics for the policy-industry dynamics. As a practical output, this study proposes a roadmapping framework that generalises some patterns of policy-industry interactions for the emergence process of new industries in China. This paper will be of interest to policy makers, strategists, investors and industrial experts.

Keywords: technology roadmapping; TRM; innovation policy; wind turbines; emerging industries; China; wind energy; wind power; industrial growth; policy-industry dynamics.

DOI: 10.1504/IJESD.2013.051688

International Journal of Environment and Sustainable Development, 2013 Vol.12 No.1, pp.3 - 21

Received: 06 Jan 2012
Accepted: 23 May 2012

Published online: 28 Jan 2014 *

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