Article: Risk analysis of urban network planning in China Journal: International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management (IJRAM) 2011 Vol.15 No.4 pp.314 - 329 Abstract: With the development of the urban social economy in China, the uncertain factors faced by urban network planners and their complexity are continuously increasing. In order to promote the scientific nature of urban network planning in China, the risks of urban network planning need to be identified and analysed systemically. Questionnaires about the risks of urban network planning in China were designed from the perspectives of policy, technology, economics and management. The membership degree of possibility, loss value and expected loss which affect the risks of the urban network planning in China were determined, based on the theory of fuzzy membership through statistical investigation and analysis. Key factors that should be considered in the future were determined. Those factors mainly include whether the government supports the urban power network plan, increases in the cost of levy land and immigration, grid project quality risk management, the deviation of load forecasting and so on. The method improves the comprehensiveness and objectivity of risk identification and provides a decision foundation for the risk aversion of urban power network planning in the developing countries. Inderscience Publishers - linking academia, business and industry through research

Title: Risk analysis of urban network planning in China

Authors: Yong-xiu He; Tao Luo; Jing Wang; Yue-jin Wang; Ai-ying Dai

Addresses: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China. ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China. ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China. ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China. ' School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Abstract: With the development of the urban social economy in China, the uncertain factors faced by urban network planners and their complexity are continuously increasing. In order to promote the scientific nature of urban network planning in China, the risks of urban network planning need to be identified and analysed systemically. Questionnaires about the risks of urban network planning in China were designed from the perspectives of policy, technology, economics and management. The membership degree of possibility, loss value and expected loss which affect the risks of the urban network planning in China were determined, based on the theory of fuzzy membership through statistical investigation and analysis. Key factors that should be considered in the future were determined. Those factors mainly include whether the government supports the urban power network plan, increases in the cost of levy land and immigration, grid project quality risk management, the deviation of load forecasting and so on. The method improves the comprehensiveness and objectivity of risk identification and provides a decision foundation for the risk aversion of urban power network planning in the developing countries.

Keywords: China; urban networks; urban planning; risk identification; risk assessment; risk management; power networks; developing countries.

DOI: 10.1504/IJRAM.2011.042671

International Journal of Risk Assessment and Management, 2011 Vol.15 No.4, pp.314 - 329

Accepted: 21 Jan 2011
Published online: 28 Feb 2015 *

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Title: Risk analysis of urban network planning in China

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