Title: Theory and methodology for dynamic panel data: tested by simulations based on financial data

Authors: Savas Papadopoulos

Addresses: Department of International Economic Relations and Development, Democritus University of Thrace, University Campus, Komotini, 69100 Greece

Abstract: A new method is introduced for panel-data models. Asymptotic robustness is used for a multivariate model with latent variables for a family of estimators. It is shown numerically that in comparison to standard methods we obtain: 1) better predictions in out-of-sample occasions; 2) smaller asymptotic standard errors (a.s.e.s); 3) more accurate a.s.e.s; 4) very small bias. Our methodology handles dynamic models with lag-independent variables, individual and time effects, time heteroscedasticity, non-normality, non-stationarity, fixed variables, non-linear and variant-over-time coefficients, and unbalanced data, by using restrictions on the parameters and the multi-sample technique (m.s.t.). Also, a novel formula for the duplication matrix is provided and a solution for a matrix equation is given.

Keywords: longitudinal data; repeated measures; duplication matrix; maximum likelihood estimator; MLE; generalised method of moments; GMM; MD estimators; dynamic panel data; simulation; financial data; dynamic modelling.

DOI: 10.1504/IJCEE.2010.037936

International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, 2010 Vol.1 No.3/4, pp.239 - 253

Published online: 05 Jan 2011 *

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