Title: IMACLIM-R: a modelling framework to simulate sustainable development pathways

Authors: Olivier Sassi, Renaud Crassous, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Vincent Gitz, Henri Waisman, Celine Guivarch

Addresses: CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France. ' CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France. ' CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France. ' CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France. ' CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France. ' CIRED – Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Developpement, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, 94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex, France

Abstract: To assess the sustainability of future development pathways requires models to compute long-run Economy–Energy–Environment scenarios. This paper presents the IMACLIM-R framework, aimed at investigating climate, energy and development inter-related issues. The model was built in an attempt to address three methodological challenges: to incoporate knowledge from economics and engineering sciences, to support the dialogue with and between stakeholders, to produce scenarios with a strong consistency, concerning especially the interplay between development patterns, technology and growth. These goals led to the development of a recursive structure articulating a static general equilibrium framework, including innovative features and sector-specific dynamic modules now concerning energy, transportation and industry. This paper provides the general rationale of the model and the description of all its components.

Keywords: hybrid modelling; long-run scenarios; energy; climate; environment; sustainability; sustainable development; development pathways; economics; engineering; transportation; energy–economy–environment modelling.

DOI: 10.1504/IJGENVI.2010.030566

International Journal of Global Environmental Issues, 2010 Vol.10 No.1/2, pp.5 - 24

Published online: 24 Dec 2009 *

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