(Im)Plausibility²
by Alfred Nordmann
International Journal of Foresight and Innovation Policy (IJFIP), Vol. 9, No. 2/3/4, 2013

Abstract: The paper offers a general conceptual analysis of 'plausibility' that illustrates the difficulties of assigning meaning and of operationalising the term in respect to any given real or imagined world. It goes on to show how the problem is compounded for 'plausibility²' or 'plausibility squared', that is, for judgments of what is plausible in an imagined world that is more or less plausibly assumed to be the successor to a given world - as would be the case for any scenario of the future. In conclusion, some implications for innovation studies and technology assessment will be suggested.

Online publication date: Fri, 28-Feb-2014

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