Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Van Dan Dang
Author-X-Name-First: Van Dan
Author-X-Name-Last: Dang
Title: Cyclicality of bank liquidity in Vietnam
Abstract:
The study sheds new light on the link between the economic cycle fluctuation and the financial market by empirically investigating the cyclical patterns of bank liquidity. To draw a comprehensive picture, we conduct our analysis based on multiple different liquidity dimensions of the current liquidity position commonly used in traditional research streams, the long-term liquidity inspired by Basel III guidelines, and the conceptual and quantitative definition to measure liquidity creation of banks. Using a dynamic panel of commercial banks from 2007 to 2019 in Vietnam, we find that long-term bank liquidity and liquidity creation are countercyclical, while the current liquidity position is procyclical. The findings support the thesis that banks take less liquidity risk during economic upturns but tend to be less risk-averse during economic downturns. The estimation results are robust across alternative versions of the generalised method of moments and bank liquidity measures.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 138-153
Issue: 2
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: Basel III liquidity rule; cyclicality; liquidity creation; liquidity position; Vietnam.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=124957
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:2:p:138-153
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Ijaz Ur Rehman
Author-X-Name-First: Ijaz Ur
Author-X-Name-Last: Rehman
Title: Payout policy, investment efficiency, and corporate performance in the Asia Pacific: does boardroom diversity matter?
Abstract:
This study empirically examines the impact of board gender diversity on corporate performance, payout policy, and investment efficiency using a sample of 1021 firms listed in Asia Pacific markets for 2006-2016. Using fixed effect regression models, the results suggest that having a woman director on the corporate board enhances the investment efficiency and increases the propensity of dividend payout of the firms as compared to companies that do not have a women director. Nevertheless, the presence of a women director has an impact on weakening corporate performance. The results are robust across alternative measures of gender diversity. The study concludes that the presence of a woman director in the boardroom grants company a competitive edge over its competitors.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 95-117
Issue: 2
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: gender diversity; firm performance; dividend payout; investment efficiency; agency theory.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=124958
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:2:p:95-117
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Kerry Liu
Author-X-Name-First: Kerry
Author-X-Name-Last: Liu
Title: The Chinese banking sector's structured deposits: growth, role in interest rate pass-through, and implications
Abstract:
The Chinese banking sector's structured deposits have experienced rapid growth recently, especially after 2017. As a result of this, the Chinese regulatory authorities began to strengthen regulation in October 2019. Based on monthly datasets between January 2016 and April 2020 and a robust least squared model, this study finds that the growth of structured deposits is significantly associated with the growth of the real economy and the expansionary monetary policy. Based on a series of tests using quarterly panel data, yearly panel data, and quarterly time series data, this study finds that structured deposits play a significant positive role in interest rate pass-through from policy rates to the lending rates of commercial banks. This study also discusses the implications of structured deposits and the recent regulations for the Chinese banking sector. This study is the first of its kind in the academic literature and makes original and significant contributions to academia and policy-makers.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 154-172
Issue: 2
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: structured deposit; industrial value-added; reserve requirement ratio; interest rate pass-through; interest rate liberalisation.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=124959
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:2:p:154-172
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Narinder Pal Singh
Author-X-Name-First: Narinder Pal
Author-X-Name-Last: Singh
Author-Name: Suzan Dsouza
Author-X-Name-First: Suzan
Author-X-Name-Last: Dsouza
Title: Investigating contagion effect of the recent Turkey currency crisis
Abstract:
This study empirically analyses the contagion effect of Turkey Lira crisis 2018 on the currencies of selected Asian (Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea and India) and other six countries (Chile, Argentina, Mexico, Brazil, Russia and South Africa) using correlation and volatility analysis. The results of correlation analysis show that Turkey's lira bears a positive correlation with all the other select currencies in all the three periods; the whole period, the pre-crisis period and the post-crisis period. Almost all the correlation coefficients are significant at 1% or 5% level of significance across the crisis and have increased after the recent turkey lira crisis. From the results of volatility spillover analysis using exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (EGARCH) model, we infer that the Turkey currency crisis has affected the volatility of currencies of India, Brazil, Argentina % South Africa, and the effect being the least on the Indian rupee volatility while the maximum impact on the South African rand volatility.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 118-137
Issue: 2
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: contagion; Turkey crisis; currency; correlation; volatility.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=124960
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:2:p:118-137
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Jagjeevan Kanoujiya
Author-X-Name-First: Jagjeevan
Author-X-Name-Last: Kanoujiya
Author-Name: Shailesh Rastogi
Author-X-Name-First: Shailesh
Author-X-Name-Last: Rastogi
Title: Impact of market competitiveness and risk management of NPAs of Indian banks on its efficiency
Abstract:
The efficient banking system of a country is an important factor of its economic growth. Hence, many banking sector reforms have been undertaken in India to improve market power and efficiency of the Indian banks. This study aims and contributes to the banking literature by providing insight about the impact of market competitiveness and risk management on technical efficiency (TE) using the sample of 34 banks in India over the period 2016-2019. The static and dynamic models of panel data have been performed for regression analysis. Competitiveness and TE are assessed by Lerner's index and Data Envelope Analysis (DEA), respectively. The risk management of non-performing assets (NPAs) is taken as provision coverage ratio (pcr). The findings of the study suggest that market competitiveness and risk management of NPA do not affect efficiency of Indian banks. This paper exerts the important policy implications through empirical investigation in the study.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 173-193
Issue: 2
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: efficiency; Lerner's index; competition; banks; DEA; data envelope analysis.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=124962
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:2:p:173-193
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Fauziah Aida Fitri
Author-X-Name-First: Fauziah Aida
Author-X-Name-Last: Fitri
Author-Name: Muhammad Syukur
Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad
Author-X-Name-Last: Syukur
Author-Name: M. Shabri Abd. Majid
Author-X-Name-First: M. Shabri Abd.
Author-X-Name-Last: Majid
Author-Name: Intan Farhana
Author-X-Name-First: Intan
Author-X-Name-Last: Farhana
Author-Name: Fakhri Hatta
Author-X-Name-First: Fakhri
Author-X-Name-Last: Hatta
Title: Do intellectual capital and financing matter for the profitability of the Islamic banking industry in Indonesia?
Abstract:
In Indonesia, the Islamic banking industry has been experiencing growth since its establishment in 1992. Although its profitability has declined slightly due to Covid-19, Islamic banks have recorded higher profitability than the average banking industry nationwide. Motivated to identify the factors that determine the banking profitability, this research empirically tests the contribution of intellectual capital (measured by VAIC<SUP align="right"><SMALL>TM</SMALL></SUP>), banks' liquidity (financing-to-deposit ratio), and financing ineffectiveness (non-performing financing or NPF) to the profitability (return on assets or ROA) of Islamic banks in Indonesia. We gathered data from the published financial information comprising a total of 130 observation years. The result shows that intellectual capital, banks' liquidity, and financing ineffectiveness impacted the profitability of Islamic banks in Indonesia. The findings of this study provide policy implications for Indonesia's Islamic banks to apply prudential banking principles in their financing activities.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 293-308
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: financing; liquidity; Indonesia; intellectual capital; Islamic banks; profitability.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=126888
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:293-308
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Khansa Fairuz
Author-X-Name-First: Khansa
Author-X-Name-Last: Fairuz
Author-Name: Adam Adhe Nugraha
Author-X-Name-First: Adam Adhe
Author-X-Name-Last: Nugraha
Author-Name: Farhan Medio Yudantyo
Author-X-Name-First: Farhan Medio
Author-X-Name-Last: Yudantyo
Author-Name: Novat Pugo Sambodo
Author-X-Name-First: Novat Pugo
Author-X-Name-Last: Sambodo
Author-Name: Evi Aninatin Ni'matul Choiriyah
Author-X-Name-First: Evi Aninatin Ni'matul
Author-X-Name-Last: Choiriyah
Author-Name: Umminita Wahyu Pertiwi
Author-X-Name-First: Umminita Wahyu
Author-X-Name-Last: Pertiwi
Author-Name: Riswanti Budi Sekaringsih
Author-X-Name-First: Riswanti Budi
Author-X-Name-Last: Sekaringsih
Title: Do mosques use Islamic bank services? Evidence from Indonesia
Abstract:
Previous research has proven that the use of formal financial services can support the performance of mosque financial management. Nevertheless, there is no study explaining the factors that influence Islamic financial inclusion in Indonesian mosques to date. Using data from The Indonesian Mosque Survey 2020, this study examined the determinants of mosques bank account ownership in Indonesian mosques. Our research revealed that only a few mosques have adapted financial services. We then investigated what factors influenced Islamic bank account ownership in Indonesian mosques by using ordinary least square (OLS) and probit methods. We found that the married and higher educated mosque leaders positively correlated to Islamic bank account ownership. At the mosque level, the mosques were located in Java and owned a general planning document, a large amount of donation, large building size and high number of congregants had a higher probability of having an Islamic bank account.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 232-252
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: bank account; Indonesia; Islamic banking; mosque; leader; OLS; ordinary least square; probit.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=126892
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:232-252
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Fakhrana Nadhilah
Author-X-Name-First: Fakhrana
Author-X-Name-Last: Nadhilah
Author-Name: Oktofa Yudha Sudrajad
Author-X-Name-First: Oktofa Yudha
Author-X-Name-Last: Sudrajad
Title: Do business models in Islamic bank matters? The effect of business models on bank performance and stability
Abstract:
This paper examines the effect of business models in Islamic banking on bank performance and stability. We use a method to cluster dynamically, namely longitudinal k-means, to identify the business model of Islamic banks from a sample of 31 Islamic banks in Indonesia from 2010Q1 to 2019Q3. We use return on asset (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) to measure bank performance and z-index and loss provisions to measure bank stability. Our findings show that profit-sharing banks and margin banks have the potential to increase ROA and tend to be more stable. Meanwhile, customer banks are better able to maintain ROE but less stable. We also confirm the literature that fee-based products increase a bank's profitability while funding mudharabah products decreases a bank's performance and stability.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 253-272
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: Islamic banking; business model; dynamic clustering; bank performance; bank stability.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=126901
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:253-272
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Syed Faisal Hasan Bukhari
Author-X-Name-First: Syed Faisal Hasan
Author-X-Name-Last: Bukhari
Author-Name: Habib Ahmad
Author-X-Name-First: Habib
Author-X-Name-Last: Ahmad
Author-Name: Hasan Hanif
Author-X-Name-First: Hasan
Author-X-Name-Last: Hanif
Author-Name: Syed Farhan Shah
Author-X-Name-First: Syed Farhan
Author-X-Name-Last: Shah
Title: Volatility contagion (spillover) between Chinese and Pakistani stock markets during COVID-19: pre and post analysis of trade-level data
Abstract:
This research study examines volatility contagion (spillover) before and during the COVID period from the Chinese stock market (Shanghai stock market) to the Pakistani stock market (Karachi stock market). We used aggregate market datasets and various industry datasets (11 industries according to GICS classification), employed the EGARCH model to investigate the volatility spillover. Our results indicate that volatility demonstrates different characteristics in aggregate data samples as compared to industrial data samples. Moreover, this study finds return spillover and volatility spillover in both datasets (aggregate and industries). This study suggests that stakeholders should analyse both datasets (aggregate and industry) before taking investment decisions.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 309-330
Issue: 4
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: volatility spillover; COVID-19; pandemic; contagious; portfolio diversification; financial crisis; interdependence.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=127157
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:4:p:309-330
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Hasan Mukhibad
Author-X-Name-First: Hasan
Author-X-Name-Last: Mukhibad
Author-Name: Doddy Setiawan
Author-X-Name-First: Doddy
Author-X-Name-Last: Setiawan
Author-Name: Rahmawati
Author-X-Name-First:
Author-X-Name-Last: Rahmawati
Author-Name: Mahameru Rosy Rochmatullah
Author-X-Name-First: Mahameru Rosy
Author-X-Name-Last: Rochmatullah
Author-Name: Warsina
Author-X-Name-First:
Author-X-Name-Last: Warsina
Title: Sharia supervisory board, maqasid syariah, and accounting-based performance: evidence from Indonesia
Abstract:
Maqasid syariah is essential to evaluate the achievement of the Sharia implementation objectives. This research provides evidence of the influence of the maqasid syariah index and Sharia Supervisory Board (SSB) attributes on accounting performance. Data were obtained from the Indonesian Islamic banks and analysed using the panel data regression method. We find that the accounting-based performance was not affected by any of the SSB attributes. Maqasid syariah index was proven to have a positive and significant influence on Accounting-Based Performance. From the three indicators that we used in measuring the maqasid syariah, justice indicators had a significant positive influence on accounting-based performance. These results provided evidence that the high fulfilment of maqasid syariah through fair policies will improve bank accounting-based performance.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 213-231
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: maqashid shariah index; tenure; meeting frequency; attendance; corporate governance; sharia supervisory board; accounting-based performance.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=126902
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:213-231
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Buu Kiem Dang
Author-X-Name-First: Buu Kiem
Author-X-Name-Last: Dang
Author-Name: Anh Dang Bao Phan
Author-X-Name-First: Anh Dang Bao
Author-X-Name-Last: Phan
Title: The impact of economic freedom on the risk-taking behaviours of Vietnamese commercial banks
Abstract:
This paper investigates the impact of economic freedom and its sub-components on bank risk-taking behaviour in the context of Vietnam. We utilise the generalised method of moments (GMM) for a sample of 22 commercial banks during the period from 2006 to 2020. The economic freedom indicator is collected from the annual publication of The Heritage Foundation. The results reveal that economic freedom will increase bank stability, which is also enhanced by monetary freedom, financial freedom, and investment freedom. Nevertheless, the higher the business freedom index is, the more probable the bank can face risks. High economic growth and low inflationary control also improve bank stability. Besides, some internal banking factors, such as size, diversification, and operating expense control, also affect the risk-taking behaviour of Vietnamese banks. The result underpins the precise policies of the Vietnamese government in promoting global economic and financial integration along with boosting the efficiency in management and scrutiny of state-owned institutions.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 353-373
Issue: 4
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: bank risks; business freedom; economic freedom; financial freedom; monetary freedom.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=127158
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:4:p:353-373
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Eko Fajar Cahyono
Author-X-Name-First: Eko Fajar
Author-X-Name-Last: Cahyono
Author-Name: Lina Nugraha Rani
Author-X-Name-First: Lina Nugraha
Author-X-Name-Last: Rani
Author-Name: M. Fariz Fadillah Mardianto
Author-X-Name-First: M. Fariz Fadillah
Author-X-Name-Last: Mardianto
Title: The determinants of deposits in Islamic and conventional banks: an Indonesian study
Abstract:
Deposits are an important source of liquidity for banking operations and become the determinant of a country's savings. Our paper tries to examine the effect of interest rates on the total deposits of Indonesian Conventional and Islamic banks. Using Indonesian banking data sources from January 2018 to January 2020 and generalised method of moments (GMM) regression models, our empirical result shows that interest rates significantly positively affect conventional bank deposits. When the Central bank raises interest rates, commercial banks will increase lending rates and pay higher interest rates to depositors. In addition, the Islamic Banking Rate of Return also has a significant positive effect on deposits. Therefore, the higher interest rates lead to the higher bank's overall average deposits.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 273-292
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: deposit; conventional bank; Islamic bank; IPI; Industrial Production Index; inflation; interest rate; rate of return; financial empowerment.
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:273-292
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Nurmadi Harsa Sumarta
Author-X-Name-First: Nurmadi Harsa
Author-X-Name-Last: Sumarta
Author-Name: Muhammad Agung Prabowo
Author-X-Name-First: Muhammad Agung
Author-X-Name-Last: Prabowo
Author-Name: Nugroho Saputro
Author-X-Name-First: Nugroho
Author-X-Name-Last: Saputro
Title: Digital banking service in Indonesia: Does it really matter for bank performance? Evidence from Indonesian commercial banks
Abstract:
This paper aims to empirically investigate whether providing digital banking facilities to customers impacts bank performance. Our study analyses secondary data from 91 commercial banks in Indonesia in 2017-2018 with a total of 182 observations using multiple regression analysis. We find that all commercial banks in Indonesia have engaged themselves in digital banking in 2017-2018, although smaller banks still have limited features. Further, our empirical evidence demonstrates that digital banking positively affects bank performance. Providing more digital banking facilities results in better financial performance, specifically in efficiency and profitability. Our study suggests that commercial banks in Indonesia engage more in digital banking service at least by providing high-quality digital services that suit the needs of the bank's customers. Finally, considering the rapid development of digital financial services, we also suggest the Indonesia Financial Service Authority continuously conduct proper supervision to ensure the security of digital banking service in Indonesia.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 374-385
Issue: 4
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: digital banking; commercial banks; bank performance; efficiency; profitability.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=127159
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:4:p:374-385
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Ayu Dwi Utami
Author-X-Name-First: Ayu Dwi
Author-X-Name-Last: Utami
Author-Name: Tastaftiyan Risfandy
Author-X-Name-First: Tastaftiyan
Author-X-Name-Last: Risfandy
Author-Name: Rolina Rahardjoputri
Author-X-Name-First: Rolina
Author-X-Name-Last: Rahardjoputri
Title: Islamic banks' merger: the case of Bank Syariah Indonesia
Abstract:
This paper provides a case study of the Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) that has been formally created on the 1st of February 2021 through mergers of three State-owned Islamic banks in Indonesia. This paper is a descriptive case study focusing on why the merger was initiated, what happens to the Indonesian Islamic banking industry after mergers, and its implication on market competition and stock prices. We use data of total assets of 34 Islamic banks in Indonesia and the weekly stock price of 4 listed Islamic banks for 18 months. By computing concentration ratio and Herfindahl index, we find that the Indonesian Islamic banking market competition decreases substantially after the merger. We also find that although the merger of BSI previously brings a positive reaction in the stock markets, the stock price of BSI consistently decreased after mergers.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 201-212
Issue: 3
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: mergers; BSI; Bank Syariah Indonesia; competition; stock price; IDX; Indonesia stock exchange; Indonesia.
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:3:p:201-212
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Eko Suprayitno
Author-X-Name-First: Eko
Author-X-Name-Last: Suprayitno
Author-Name: Silvia Vara Dhita
Author-X-Name-First: Silvia Vara
Author-X-Name-Last: Dhita
Title: Islamic banking deposits in Indonesia: Do spatial effects matter?
Abstract:
This study aims to analyse the spatial effect on Islamic banking deposits and identify the factors that influence Islamic banking deposits in a province in Indonesia as an archipelagic country. This study used a Spatial Autoregressive Model (SAR Moran's I), a Spatial Error Model (SEM), and the Local Indicator of Spatial Association (LISA). The result of the Moran's I model showed a strong spatial influence on Islamic bank deposits. Jakarta and West Java Provinces enjoy high Islamic bank deposits. However, Banten Province enjoys only low Islamic bank deposits despite being surrounded by high-value neighbouring provinces. The Lagrange Multiplier (SAR) test results on the factors that affect the geographic spatial concentration of the deposit distribution patterns are at the level of GRDP, offices, and total assets. Meanwhile, the LISA test shows how the value of deposits in a province affects a particular province.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 386-405
Issue: 4
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: spatial effect; spatial analysis; Islamic bank; Islamic bank deposits.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=127160
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:4:p:386-405
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Ezekiel Olamide Abanikanda
Author-X-Name-First: Ezekiel Olamide
Author-X-Name-Last: Abanikanda
Title: Measuring the impact of exchange rate volatility on the depth and efficiency of the financial sector: evidence from Nigeria
Abstract:
This study examines the effect of exchange rate volatility on the depth and efficiency of Nigeria's financial sector over the period of 1986-2018 via the autoregressive distributed lag cointegration technique. The study employs four models that consist of financial institution and financial market indicators of depth and efficiency. The results from the study show that exchange rate volatility exerts a negative effect on financial institutions' depth and efficiency in both the short run and long run. The findings also show that exchange rate volatility wields a negative effect on financial market depth in the short run, albeit with no long run effect, whereas exchange rate volatility has an adverse effect on financial market efficiency in both the short run and long run. The paper recommends that the Central Bank of Nigeria should put in place adequate measures to keep the exchange rate stable in order to broaden the depth and efficiency of the financial sector.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 331-352
Issue: 4
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: exchange rate volatility; financial sector; financial sector depth; financial sector efficiency; Nigeria.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=127161
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:4:p:331-352
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Alberto Gallegos-David
Author-X-Name-First: Alberto
Author-X-Name-Last: Gallegos-David
Author-Name: Arturo Lorenzo-Valdes
Author-X-Name-First: Arturo
Author-X-Name-Last: Lorenzo-Valdes
Author-Name: Bárbara Trejo-Becerril
Author-X-Name-First: Bárbara
Author-X-Name-Last: Trejo-Becerril
Title: Empirical evidence of the monetary approach to the exchange rate determinants under a fully flexible regime: the case of Mexico
Abstract:
The purpose of this paper is to examine the empirical evidence on the evolution of the nominal peso-dollar exchange rate based on the monetary approach under a fully flexible exchange rate regime. We use a standardised framework where the uncovered interest rate (UIP) and the purchase power parities (PPP), flexible prices, and a typical demand for real money balances determine prices in the long run. Once we identify that time series of the nominal exchange rate and the fundamental macroeconomic variables are non-stationary, we estimate a vector error-correction model (VECM) and, for comparative purposes, an ARIMA-EGARCH model and an ARIMA-EGARCH model with monetary approach. Models' assessment based on the post estimation results shows that the model with the lowest HRMSE for all the steps-ahead forecast is the ARIMA-EGARCH model followed by the VECM model. Likewise, the lowest HMAE for the first three-steps ahead forecast is the VECM model, followed by the ARIMA-EGARCH model.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 35-57
Issue: 1
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: monetary approach; purchasing power parity; cointegration; conditional variance; volatility.
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:35-57
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Woraphon Wattanatorn
Author-X-Name-First: Woraphon
Author-X-Name-Last: Wattanatorn
Author-Name: Chaiyuth Padungsaksawasdi
Author-X-Name-First: Chaiyuth
Author-X-Name-Last: Padungsaksawasdi
Title: Stock price crash risk: the role of systematic skewness
Abstract:
This study aims to explore an important determinant of stock price crash risk in an emerging market, Thailand. Our results support an important role of systematic skewness on stock price crash risk over the period of 2000 to 2019. Coskewness is negatively associated to stock price crash risk. The findings are robust when including effects of stock liquidity, earnings management, and opaque financial report. Endogeneity is addressed by performing the two-stage least squares methodology.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 78-93
Issue: 1
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: stock price crash risk; coskewness; emerging market; systematic skewness; crash risk; negative skewness; tail risk.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=121561
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:78-93
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Misheck Mutize
Author-X-Name-First: Misheck
Author-X-Name-Last: Mutize
Title: A trend analysis of Eurobond yields in Africa
Abstract:
This study applies econometric forecasting methods to estimate the trend of Eurobond yields in eight African countries over the period from January 2010 to May 2020. Results of the analyses show that the majority of countries' bond yields are forecasted to be on an upward trend. This implies that if African countries do not act to address the rising interest burden, they are at risk of falling into debt trap. This study thus recommends that countries should design their own yield curves and be more determinant in the amount of interest they should pay on Eurobond bonds. In addition, they should leverage on the high demand of African Eurobonds to bargain for competitive yields, improve the integrity and transparency in managing Eurobond proceeds to establish lines of accountability.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 19-34
Issue: 1
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: Eurobonds; yields; Africa; debt trap; yield curve; leverage; forecasting.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=121564
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:19-34
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Abhijit Chakraborty
Author-X-Name-First: Abhijit
Author-X-Name-Last: Chakraborty
Author-Name: Ashim Kumar Das
Author-X-Name-First: Ashim Kumar
Author-X-Name-Last: Das
Title: Do macro-economic factors drive life insurance growth? An empirical analysis
Abstract:
The Indian Economy is fast coping up with the global competition and making its mark in the world economy. In the past two decades, the Insurance Industry in India has registered its growth in terms of escalating penetration and density, but the growth is not at par its true potential. This calls for a need to elevate the visibility of the insurance sector and to identify the factors that influence its growth. This study is an attempt to identify the macro-economic factors that influence the Life Insurance sector in India. A time series analysis involving data for 39 years was considered using empirical methods including Engle-Granger co-integration, ordinary least square, and granger causality. The results indicated that FDI, inflation, interest rate and broad money (M2) plays a significant role in the growth of Life Insurance industry in India and, inflation and interest rate has causal relation with life insurance sector.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 1-18
Issue: 1
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: life insurance; India; ordinary least square; co-integration; causality; macro-economic factors.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=121565
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:1-18
Template-Type: ReDIF-Article 1.0
Author-Name: Van Dan Dang
Author-X-Name-First: Van Dan
Author-X-Name-Last: Dang
Title: The bank liquidity creation channel of monetary policy transmission in a multiple-instrument environment
Abstract:
The study investigates the impact of monetary policy on bank liquidity creation, a much broader concept than bank lending. Using the annual financial data of Vietnamese commercial banks from 2008 to 2018, we show that an expansionary (contractionary) monetary policy tends to increase (decrease) bank liquidity creation. Our further analysis through monetary policy indicators ranging from lending rates to primary policy instruments, including policy rates and open market operations, provides strong evidence favouring the bank liquidity creation channel. Slightly differently, we do not have much confidence in the case of the foreign exchange reserves. Besides, we also confirm the existence of the bank lending channel, which differs from the bank liquidity creation channel in terms of the magnitude of transmission, from the perspective of a multiple monetary-policy-instrument environment.
Journal: Int. J. of Monetary Economics and Finance
Pages: 58-77
Issue: 1
Volume: 15
Year: 2022
Keywords: bank lending channel; emerging market; liquidity creation; monetary policy; interest rates; money injection.
File-URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=121566
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Handle: RePEc:ids:ijmefi:v:15:y:2022:i:1:p:58-77